MX23RW : Wednesday, February 7 18:23:08| >> :120:78759:78759:
Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Equatorial Guinea national football team
Nigeria
1 - 1
Eq Guinea
Osimhen (38')
Sanusi (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Salvador (36')
Bikoro (26'), Balboa (85')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Guinea 2-0 Nigeria
Monday, January 8 at 12pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-1 Djibouti
Tuesday, January 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies

We said: Nigeria 1-1 Equatorial Guinea

Unbeaten in 11 competitive and non-competitive games, Equatorial Guinea should make that 12 against a Super Eagles side heavily reliant on Osimhen to deliver the goods. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 5.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.89%) and 3-0 (12.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NigeriaDrawEquatorial Guinea
79.12% (0.062999999999988 0.06) 15.12% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 5.76% (-0.097 -0.1)
Both teams to score 32.44% (-0.613 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (-0.526 -0.53)48.66% (0.522 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.479 -0.48)70.77% (0.476 0.48)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.77% (-0.119 -0.12)10.22% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.46% (-0.271 -0.27)33.54% (0.268 0.27)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.14% (-0.636 -0.64)63.86% (0.633 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.5% (-0.2879 -0.29)92.5% (0.285 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 79.11%
    Equatorial Guinea 5.76%
    Draw 15.12%
NigeriaDrawEquatorial Guinea
2-0 @ 16.97% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 14.89% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 12.9% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 7.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-0 @ 3.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.3% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-0 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 79.11%
1-1 @ 6.68% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 1.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 15.12%
0-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-2 @ 1.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 5.76%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Eq Guinea

Nigeria
71.9%
Draw
21.9%
Equatorial Guinea
6.3%
32
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2018 7pm
Group Stage
Eq Guinea
1-3
Nigeria
Eyama Nsi (40')
Angel (20'), Bindang (54'), Montero (67')
Okpotu (58'), Ekundayo Solomon (69'), Ali (83' pen.)
Eze (36')
rhs 2.0
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