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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Maritimo
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
Braga
Vizela
0 - 4
Braga

Pereira (83'), Ortiz (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Elmusrati (43'), Medeiros (49', 65'), Horta (75')
Elmusrati (81'), Djalo (83')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Vizela
Saturday, March 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, March 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 1-3 Braga

Buoyed by last week's victory over Estoril Praia, Vizela will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence and will be looking to build on that result. However, they take on a Braga side who have enjoyed a solid campaign and are pushing for a return to the Champions League. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Braga to come away with all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
VizelaDrawBraga
31.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.65% (0.02 0.02) 43.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)49.79% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (-0.084 -0.08)71.79% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)29.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.064 -0.06)66% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)22.88% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)56.62% (0.064 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 31.01%
    Braga 43.34%
    Draw 25.64%
VizelaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 31.01%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 10.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.34%

How you voted: Vizela vs Braga

Vizela
13.8%
Draw
10.3%
Braga
75.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 10, 2022 8.30pm
Vizela
0-1
Braga

Alvarado (50'), Fernandes (67'), Anderson (75')
Medeiros (39')
Carmo (6'), Horta (13'), Magalhaes (88'), Mineiro (90+1')
Oliveira (44')
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Braga
4-1
Vizela
Horta (27', 45' pen.), Silva (57'), Ruiz (90+3')
Moura (84')
Kouao (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica30252371175477
2Braga30232566254171
3Porto29224362194370
4Sporting Lisbon29194659273261
5AroucaArouca3013983334-148
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30135122936-744
7FamalicaoFamalicao29133133337-442
8ChavesChaves301010103034-440
9Vizela30116133332139
10Casa Pia30116132734-739
11Rio AveRio Ave30108123135-438
12BoavistaBoavista29107123648-1237
13PortimonensePortimonense30103172339-1633
14Gil Vicente3087152636-1031
15Estoril PraiaEstoril2974182345-2225
16Maritimo3064202756-2922
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira3055202352-2920
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara2937191945-2616

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