We said: Braga 2-0 Vizela
Having finished second in the second tier last term, Vizela have struggled to find their footing in the big leagues and risk dropping into the relegation zone. Meanwhile, the hosts have suffered two disappointing defeats in their last three outings and will be looking to get their season back on track and move into the top six places. We are backing Braga to come away with all three points in this one as they boast a significantly superior squad in class and quality.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 71.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
