Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
