Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
32.47% | 28.21% | 39.32% |
Both teams to score 46.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.66% | 59.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.26% | 79.73% |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.22% | 33.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.56% | 70.44% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% | 29.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% | 65.38% |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.47% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.93% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.58% Total : 39.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
2 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
3 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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