Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
53.58% | 24.55% | 21.86% |
Both teams to score 49.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.17% | 51.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.41% | 73.59% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.71% | 19.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.97% | 51.03% |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.51% | 38.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.76% | 75.24% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 12.21% 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.57% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.09% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 33 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 79 | 20 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 53 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | Casa Pia | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 41 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 32 |
16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
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