Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.09%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 8.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.09%) and 3-0 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
