Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
