Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.39%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
70.12% | 19.4% | 10.47% |
Both teams to score 40.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.1% | 50.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.22% | 72.78% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.64% | 13.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.75% | 40.25% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.46% | 53.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.01% | 86.99% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
2-0 @ 14.49% 1-0 @ 14.39% 3-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-0 @ 4.89% 4-1 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.38% Total : 70.11% | 1-1 @ 9% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 2.83% Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.4% | 0-1 @ 4.47% 1-2 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.8% Total : 10.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 6 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 26 |
3 | Braga | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 25 |
4 | Casa Pia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 23 |
5 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 20 |
7 | PortimonensePortimonense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 19 |
8 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 19 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
13 | Vizela | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
14 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 9 |
17 | Maritimo | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 6 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 24 | -17 | 2 |
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