Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Nacional |
38.88% | 29.35% | 31.77% |
Both teams to score 43.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.67% | 63.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.3% | 82.7% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.35% | 31.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.94% | 68.06% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% | 36.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% | 73.2% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 13.25% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.91% Total : 38.87% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.34% | 0-1 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.91% Total : 31.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 6 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 26 |
3 | Braga | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 25 |
4 | Casa Pia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 23 |
5 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 20 |
7 | PortimonensePortimonense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 19 |
8 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 19 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
13 | Vizela | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
14 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 9 |
17 | Maritimo | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 6 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 24 | -17 | 2 |
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