Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Tondela |
46.21% | 26.52% | 27.28% |
Both teams to score 49.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.94% | 55.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.68% | 76.32% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% | 23.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.05% | 57.96% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.58% | 35.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.81% | 72.19% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Tondela |
1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.2% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 6 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 8 | 19 | 26 |
3 | Braga | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 25 |
4 | Casa Pia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 23 |
5 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 20 |
7 | PortimonensePortimonense | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 19 |
8 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 19 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
13 | Vizela | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
14 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 11 |
15 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 |
16 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 9 |
17 | Maritimo | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 6 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 24 | -17 | 2 |
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