Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.09%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 7.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.15%) and 3-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Cadiz |
78.09% ( -0.1) | 14.89% ( 0.12) | 7.01% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 39.89% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.41% ( -0.68) | 42.59% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35% ( -0.68) | 64.99% ( 0.68) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.02% ( -0.19) | 8.97% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.4% ( -0.45) | 30.6% ( 0.45) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.82% ( -0.52) | 56.18% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.43% ( -0.3) | 88.57% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Cadiz |
2-0 @ 14.64% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 78.08% | 1-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.41% Total : 14.89% | 0-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 7.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |