Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 9.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Girona |
73.56% ( -0.49) | 16.72% ( 0.25) | 9.72% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 45.99% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.49% ( -0.39) | 41.51% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.09% ( -0.4) | 63.91% ( 0.4) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.2% ( -0.22) | 9.79% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.45% ( -0.51) | 32.55% ( 0.51) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.98% ( 0.24) | 49.02% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.03% ( 0.17) | 83.97% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Girona |
2-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 73.54% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.67% Total : 16.72% | 0-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 9.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |