Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.71%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.92%) and 0-1 (6.85%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.