Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.