The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Tondela |
| 69.81% | 18.5% | 11.68% |
| Both teams to score 47.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
