Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Santa Clara |
36.38% | 28.49% | 35.13% |
Both teams to score 46.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.97% | 60.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.74% | 80.26% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.48% | 31.52% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.09% | 67.91% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% | 32.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% | 68.83% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.38% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 40 |
2 | Benfica | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 39 |
3 | Porto | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 33 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | SC FarenseFarense | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Casa Pia | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 19 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
17 | Vizela | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |