Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.