Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 20, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Sporting Lisbon
1 - 0
Guimaraes
Inacio (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 53.3% | 25.75% | 20.96% |
| Both teams to score 45.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
