Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 15.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
