Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
