Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
