Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
40.12% | 28.75% | 31.13% |
Both teams to score 44.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.52% | 61.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.65% | 81.35% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% | 29.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% | 66.09% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.12% | 35.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.34% | 72.66% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 12.95% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 7.81% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.45% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2% Total : 31.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | 69 | 17 | 52 | 74 |
2 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
3 | Braga | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 62 | 24 | 38 | 68 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 58 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 48 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
8 | Vizela | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 39 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 37 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 35 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 31 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 22 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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