Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.54%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
