Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
17.61% | 23.97% | 58.42% |
Both teams to score 44.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.27% | 54.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.96% | 76.04% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.14% | 44.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.17% | 80.82% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.46% | 18.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.21% | 49.79% |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 6.67% 2-1 @ 4.5% 2-0 @ 2.67% 3-1 @ 1.2% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.55% Total : 17.61% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 14.01% 0-2 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 9.47% 0-3 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 5.32% 0-4 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 45 |
3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
5 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 27 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 25 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Vizela | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 24 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 23 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 21 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 19 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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