Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.58%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
39.83% | 29.99% | 30.18% |
Both teams to score 41.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.36% | 65.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.66% | 84.34% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.73% | 32.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.23% | 68.76% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.08% | 38.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.35% | 75.65% |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 14.2% 2-0 @ 8.03% 2-1 @ 7.58% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.77% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 12.55% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.98% | 0-1 @ 11.85% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.53% Total : 30.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 59 |
2 | Porto | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 14 | 35 | 51 |
3 | Braga | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 49 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 41 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 34 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 33 |
7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
8 | BoavistaBoavista | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 29 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 27 |
11 | Vizela | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | ChavesChaves | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 26 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 15 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 12 |
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