Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Famalicao |
32.14% | 29.71% | 38.15% |
Both teams to score 42.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.6% | 64.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.53% | 83.47% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.27% | 36.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.48% | 73.51% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.35% | 32.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.8% | 69.2% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 6.73% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.87% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.99% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 13.42% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.67% Total : 38.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 16 | 52 | 71 |
2 | Porto | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 18 | 40 | 64 |
3 | Braga | 27 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 62 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 54 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 41 |
7 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
8 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 36 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 34 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
12 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 27 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 50 | -29 | 19 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 15 |
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