Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
37.25% | 28.8% | 33.95% |
Both teams to score 45.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.78% | 61.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.85% | 81.15% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.42% | 31.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.02% | 67.98% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.27% | 33.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.61% | 70.39% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 12.27% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 12 | 33 | 47 |
2 | Braga | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 26 | 40 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 39 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 32 |
5 | Casa Pia | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 30 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 27 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 26 |
8 | Vizela | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 24 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 24 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 21 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 21 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 20 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
17 | Maritimo | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 34 | -24 | 6 |
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