Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 85.99%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Niger had a probability of 3.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.71%) and 1-0 (14.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.4%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (1.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.