Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.
-0.36) 
0.27) 
