MX23RW : Wednesday, March 1 06:06:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK at Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
Chester
1 - 1
Alfreton
Dudley (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Southwell (39')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Alfreton Town.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 1-1 Chester
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Kettering
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawAlfreton Town
54.37% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22) 24.74% (0.077999999999999 0.08) 20.89% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 47.82% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (-0.129 -0.13)53.59% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91% (-0.109 -0.11)75.09% (0.108 0.11)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (-0.139 -0.14)19.66% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)51.63% (0.22600000000001 0.23)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.52% (0.079000000000001 0.08)40.48% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.91% (0.072000000000003 0.07)77.09% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 54.36%
    Alfreton Town 20.89%
    Draw 24.74%
Chester FCDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 54.36%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.89%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Alfreton
2-2
Chester
Denton (28', 90+2')
Willoughby (16'), Lynch (23')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Chester
3-2
Alfreton
Hardy (30'), Weeks (81'), Cowan (90+2')
Livesey (72')
Rhead (80', 88')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Chester
3-0
Alfreton
Elliott (20' pen.), Morgan (62'), Dudley (88')