Alfreton Town 3-0 Buxton - National League North - December 26, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Buxton
44.37% ( 0.02)	24.82% ( 0.01)	30.8% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 56.72% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.71% (

-0.04)

46.28% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.42% (

-0.04)

68.57% (

0.03)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

-0.01)

20.91% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.36% (

-0.01)

53.64% (

0.01)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.72% (

-0.04)

28.28% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36% (

-0.05)

64% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 44.38%

Buxton 30.8%

Draw 24.81%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Buxton
1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 44.38%	1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.81%	0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.8%