Chester FC 3-2 Alfreton Town - National League North - September 4, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK at Deva Stadium

Hardy (30'), Weeks (81'), Cowan (90+2')
Livesey (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rhead (80', 88')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Alfreton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 17.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Alfreton Town
61.2%	20.98%	17.82%

Both teams to score 54.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.81%

42.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.4%

64.6%

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.7%

13.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.86%

40.14%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.79%

37.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26%

73.99%

Score Analysis

Chester FC 61.2%

Alfreton Town 17.82%

Draw 20.98%

Chester FC	Draw	Alfreton Town
2-0 @ 10.07% 1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.96% 3-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 6.7% 4-0 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-0 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.21% Total : 61.2%	1-1 @ 9.87% 0-0 @ 4.95% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.98%	0-1 @ 4.89% 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.62% 1-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.82%