Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
36.55% | 28.76% | 34.68% |
Both teams to score 45.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.96% | 61.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.98% | 81.02% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.07% | 31.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.62% | 68.37% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.85% | 33.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.25% | 69.75% |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.55% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
2 | Porto | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 12 | 35 | 48 |
3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 38 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
8 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
9 | Vizela | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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