Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
40.43% | 27.83% | 31.74% |
Both teams to score 47.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.85% | 58.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.19% | 78.8% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.82% | 28.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.13% | 63.87% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.33% | 33.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.68% | 70.32% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 12.01% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.78% Total : 40.42% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 13 | 41 | 56 |
2 | Porto | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 48 | 12 | 36 | 51 |
3 | Braga | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 49 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 41 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 34 |
6 | Casa Pia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 32 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 30 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 27 |
9 | Vizela | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
10 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 26 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 26 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 24 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 15 |
17 | Maritimo | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 13 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 12 |
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