Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 71.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Brest had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Brest |
71.2% ( -0) | 17.81% ( 0.01) | 10.98% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 46.95% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.21% ( -0.04) | 42.79% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.81% ( -0.04) | 65.19% ( 0.04) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.27% ( -0.01) | 10.72% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.33% ( -0.03) | 34.67% ( 0.03) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.59% ( -0.03) | 47.41% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.21% ( -0.03) | 82.79% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Brest |
2-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.43% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 71.2% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.81% | 0-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.61% Total : 10.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |