Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Lille |
27.97% | 25.42% | 46.61% |
Both teams to score 53.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.68% | 50.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.74% | 72.26% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.64% | 32.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.13% | 68.87% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% | 21.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.31% | 54.69% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.45% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.97% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 23 | 36 | 57 |
2 | Marseille | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 52 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 50 |
4 | Lens | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 49 |
5 | Rennes | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 43 |
6 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Lorient | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 39 |
8 | Nice | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 38 |
9 | Lyon | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 |
10 | Reims | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 32 |
12 | Clermont | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 30 |
13 | NantesNantes | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 28 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 26 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Brest | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 20 |
17 | Troyes | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 19 |
18 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 18 |
19 | Ajaccio | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 45 | -27 | 18 |
20 | Angers | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 10 |
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