Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
