Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
