Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
