Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
24.84% ( -0.49) | 24.47% ( -0.05) | 50.7% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 53.34% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.36% ( -0.21) | 48.64% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.25% ( -0.19) | 70.76% ( 0.19) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.01% ( -0.53) | 33.99% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.33% ( -0.57) | 70.67% ( 0.58) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( 0.13) | 19.2% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.12% ( 0.22) | 50.88% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.84% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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