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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Hearts logo
St Mirren
1 - 1
Hearts
Strain (4')
Baccus (41'), O'Hara (56')
Fraser (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Snodgrass (49')
McKay (45+2'), Snodgrass (86')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-0 St Mirren
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-0 Hibernian
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 1-2 Hearts

In a match with permutations at the top end of the table, we expect both sides to battle hard and put on an entertaining spectacle in Paisley. On this occasion, Hearts will win the match by a narrow margin and strengthen their bid for continental qualification in the Scottish Premiership. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawHearts
34.03% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.42%38.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8%56.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75%77.25% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)64.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 34.03%
    Hearts 38.54%
    Draw 27.42%
St MirrenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.03%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 11.11%
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.54%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Hearts

St Mirren
27.3%
Draw
27.3%
Hearts
45.5%
22
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Hearts
4-2
St Mirren
Baningime (16'), Haring (29'), McEneff (67'), Simms (85')
Baningime (40')
Brophy (36'), Ronan (62')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
0-2
Hearts

Power (62'), Tait (67')
Ronan (22')
Simms (64'), Devlin (67')
Atkinson (27'), Devlin (62'), Haring (86'), Halkett (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Mackay-Steven (61'), Kingsley (75')
Devlin (68'), Halliday (89')

Shaughnessy (16'), Flynn (62'), Alnwick (90+6')
Shaughnessy (90+5')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
St Mirren
1-2
Hearts
Shaughnessy (85')
Main (90+2')
Dennis (86')
Halliday (16'), Boyce (73')
Haring (28'), Baningime (36')
Mar 11, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CCeltic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
10Dundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427

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