Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 86.95%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 3.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.97%) and 4-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barcelona in this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Cadiz |
86.95% ( -0.03) | 9.55% ( 0.01) | 3.5% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 35.66% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.74% ( -0.03) | 33.25% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.98% ( -0.03) | 55.02% ( 0.03) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.84% ( -0.01) | 5.15% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.57% ( -0.03) | 20.43% ( 0.02) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
37.6% ( 0.02) | 62.4% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.17% ( 0.01) | 91.83% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Cadiz |
2-0 @ 14.13% 3-0 @ 13.97% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 5-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.89% ( -0) 6-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 86.93% | 1-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 9.55% | 0-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 3.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |