Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.