Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Cincinnati
1 - 0
Philadelphia
MLS Rivalry Week is upon us, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, April 2 at 1.40am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, April 2 at 1.40am in Major League Soccer
We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia Union
FC Cincinnati have excelled so far this season, particularly in defence, and with home advantage, we back them to score another 1-0 victory against a Philadelphia Union side who are yet to hit their stride and face a fast turnaround from a tough continental outing.How to watch
You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Cincinnati in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
43.06% ( 0.06) | 26.01% ( -0.02) | 30.93% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
