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Aug 7, 2022 at 12.30am UK at Nippert Stadium
Cincinnati
3 - 1
Philadelphia
Vazquez (50'), Brenner (55'), Barreal (71')
Cameron (34'), Acosta (54'), Hagglund (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aaronson (77')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-3 Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati fans are sick of the sight of stalemates now, but most would most likely accept a draw versus the Eastern Conference leaders, whose penchant for goals should become apparent here. Carving their way through a leaky Orange and Blue backline should be an easy ask for the Union, who also have the defensive nous to end the hosts' unbeaten run at the TQL Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
36.03% (0.067 0.07) 25.46% (0.155 0.16) 38.51% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.07% (-0.538 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2% (-0.696 -0.7)47.8% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.01% (-0.645 -0.65)69.99% (0.64400000000001 0.64)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-0.286 -0.29)25.8% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (-0.389 -0.39)60.75% (0.387 0.39)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)24.43% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14% (-0.615 -0.62)58.86% (0.613 0.61)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 36.03%
    Philadelphia Union 38.51%
    Draw 25.45%
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.176 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 36.03%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.145 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.26% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.51%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Philadelphia

FC Cincinnati
14.3%
Draw
9.5%
Philadelphia Union
76.2%
21
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
Cincinnati
Bedoya (17')
Burke (64')
Vazquez (39')
Medunjanin (55'), Nwobodo (57'), Hagglund (62'), Nelson (68')
Oct 31, 2021 11.30pm
Oct 10, 2021 1am
Oct 8, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-0
Cincinnati
Ilsinho (59'), Bedoya (73'), Elliott (80')
Bedoya (40'), McKenzie (66'), Mbaizo (90+3')
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
Philadelphia

Gyau (19'), Waston (47'), Medunjanin (63'), Amaya (90+4')

Bedoya (60'), Przybylko (79')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
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