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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Columbus Crew Stadium
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
0 - 0
Philadelphia

Mensah (1'), Zelarayan (36'), Hurtado (39'), Santos (43'), Moreira (59')
FT

Elliott (39'), Bedoya (61')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Columbus Crew 1-2 Philadelphia Union

Given the recent form of Columbus, there is an argument that this game should be regarded as a straight 50-50. However, we cannot ignore that Philadelphia have lost just twice in the MLS this season, leaving us to predict a narrow win for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawPhiladelphia Union
52.57% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 24.45% (0.040000000000003 0.04) 22.98% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.33% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7% (-0.244 -0.24)50.3% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (-0.217 -0.22)72.25% (0.22099999999999 0.22)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)19.09% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.29% (-0.128 -0.13)50.71% (0.133 0.13)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.21 -0.21)36.56% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (-0.214 -0.21)73.35% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 52.56%
    Philadelphia Union 22.98%
    Draw 24.45%
Columbus CrewDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.57% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.28% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.03% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.98%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia

Columbus Crew
28.6%
Draw
17.1%
Philadelphia Union
54.3%
35
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 11pm
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Philadelphia
3-0
Columbus Crew
Elliott (25'), Bedoya (46'), Flach (89')
Wagner (35'), Powell (74'), Santos (77')
Wagner (64')

Santos (66')
Jun 24, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-0
Columbus Crew
Monteiro (24')
Real (72'), Flach (84')

Matan (43'), Wormgoor (51')
Apr 18, 2021 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Philadelphia

Diaz Espinoza (56'), Kitchen (64')

Glesnes (40'), Monteiro (61'), Santos (75'), Bedoya (89')
Nov 1, 2020 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati31198453351865
2Orlando City31159749371254
3New England RevolutionNew England301410651371452
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia31149853371651
5Columbus Crew31148962431950
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta311310861471449
7Nashville SCNashville3012993628845
8New York City FCNY City32814103437-338
9DC United32910134346-337
10Chicago Fire31910123547-1237
11CF MontrealMontreal31114163048-1837
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15Toronto31410172651-2522

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City321751062402256
2Seattle SoundersSeattle31121093731646
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30129944341045
4Houston DynamoHouston31128114235744
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver311110105147443
6Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30127114245-343
7Portland TimbersPortland321110114451-743
8San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes321012103741-442
9Dallas311011103534141
10Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31911113941-238
11Sporting Kansas CityKansas32108144248-638
12Austin FCAustin3198144350-735
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy30811114554-935
14Colorado RapidsColorado31511152447-2326

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