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National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Princes Park
Dover Athletic
Dartford
2 - 1
Dover Athletic
Bradbury (5'), Allen (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Higgs (30')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dartford and Dover Athletic.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Dartford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Welling United
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.

Result
DartfordDrawDover Athletic
47.68% (0.114 0.11) 25.36% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 26.95% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.43% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (0.198 0.2)50.74% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (0.174 0.17)72.64% (-0.176 -0.18)
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (0.133 0.13)21.29% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77% (0.203 0.2)54.23% (-0.206 -0.21)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (0.058999999999997 0.06)33.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (0.065999999999999 0.07)70% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Dartford 47.68%
    Dover Athletic 26.95%
    Draw 25.36%
DartfordDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 26.95%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Dover Athletic
1-3
Dartford
Baptiste (45+2')
Carruthers (27'), Coulson (32'), Statham (45')
Jan 17, 2015 3pm
Dover Athletic
6-1
Dartford
Deverdics (5'), Orlu (45'), Murphy (53', 79'), Bellamy (55'), Cogan (77' pen.)
Crawford (21')
Mitchell-King (44'), Bradbrook (76')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Dartford
2-1
Dover Athletic
Crawford (72'), Bradbrook (85')
McAuley (17')
Miller (8')
Miller (28'), Deverdics (55')
rhs 2.0
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