Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sunderland in this match.