Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.